Markets Slip as U.S. Blockade Threatens Iran's Economic Model
U.S. futures are modestly lower after peace talks collapsed and U.S. Central Command announced a maritime blockade on all Iranian port traffic beginning today at 10 a.m. ET, with Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow futures each slipping between -0.4% and -0.6%. Odds of the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal before June fell from roughly 65% to 38% overnight on prediction markets. Economist Robin Brooks warned the blockade could prove decisive, arguing that halting oil and gas shipments would collapse Iran's current account surplus and dismantle its primary source of external income.