Jobs Report Smashes Expectations
Markets are pushing higher in premarket trading, up more than +0.4%, after January’s jobs report decisively beat expectations, with nonfarm payrolls rising 130K versus ~70K consensus and December revised up to 48K. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, slightly better than anticipated. However, the underlying trend remains softer than the headline suggests. The BLS sharply revised down its 2025 employment estimate to +181K (from +584K), implying an average monthly gain of just +15K last year. January hiring was concentrated in health care, social assistance, and construction, while the federal government and financial sectors shed jobs, reinforcing the narrative of a narrow, defensive labor expansion beneath an otherwise upbeat headline.